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Budget leaks ‘create havoc’ as UK investors pull out of stock market – business live | Business

Introduction: £28bn energy upgrade gets green light

Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of business, the financial markets and the world economy.

Plans to spend £28bn to upgrade Great Britain’s electricity grid have been signed off, in a move that should improve the energy networks, speed the transition to new forms of energy…and increase household bills.

Energy regulator Ofgem has just announced that energy companies have been given approval to “strengthen the stability, security and resilience of our energy networks”. by upgrading the energy grid.

The majority of the spending – £17.8bn – announced today is to maintain Britain’s gas networks.

There’s also £10.3bn to improve the nation’s high-voltage electricity network – the biggest expansion of the grid since the 1960s.

In total, it’s around £4bn more than was provisionally signed off in the summer.

Ofgem says the investment is the most cost-effective way to harness clean power, support economic growth and protect the country from a repeat of the 2022 gas price shock.

Customers will see the impact on their bills, which will rise to cover the cost of the investment. The regulator says £108 will be added to bills per year by 2031; £48 for gas and £60 for electricity.

But it claims, the investing will actually save customers £80 each compared to a word where the grid is not expanded.

So overall, the net increase in bills to cover all costs by 2031 works out at £30.

Jonathan Brearley, Ofgem CEO, insists the regulator isn’t allowing “investment at any price”, adding:

Every pound must deliver value for consumers.

Ofgem will hold network companies accountable for delivering on time and on budget, and we make no apologies for the efficiency challenge we’re setting as the industry scales up investment.

We’ve built strong consumer protections into these contracts, meaning funds will only be released when needed and clawed back if not used. Households and businesses must get value for money, and we will ensure they do.”

The agenda

  • 9am GMT: UK new car sales data for November

  • 9.30am GMT: UK construction PMI report for November

  • 10am GMT: Eurozone retail sales for October

  • 12.30pm GMT: Challenger US job cuts report

  • 1.30pm GMT: US weekly jobless claims 1.30pm

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Key events

Budget leaks ‘create havoc’ as UK investors pull out of funds

Uncertainty over the contents of last month’s budget has been blamed for a record-breaking selling spree of equities by UK investors.

Data provider Calastone has reported that “the most prolonged and most severe bout of equity fund outflows continued unabated” last month.

They report that UK investors withdrew a net £3.02bn from equity funds during November, with North American and UK-focused equity funds hardest hit. That’s the second-worst month on record, only beaten by October, as investors fretted that the chancellor might make changes to pension lump sum withdrawals rules, or hike capital gains tax rates.

However, the arrival of the budget caused a sudden halt to outflows. Inflows resumed on Budget Day (Wednesday 26), Thursday 27th and Friday 28th. Every other day of November in the run up to Budget Day except one saw net selling.

This adds to the evidence that the flurry of pre-Budget leaks – now to be investigated – affected investors, as well as knocking business and consumer confidence.

Calastone’s latest Fund Flow Index for November also shows that UK investors have cut their holdings in equities by £10.39bn since the start of June, having sold down equities for a record six consecutive months.

A chart showing inflows and outflows by UK investors Photograph: Calastone

Edward Glyn, head of global markets at Calastone, says investors have been unsettled by uncertainty over budget plans.

“The political narrative has played havoc with UK savers in recent months. Never have we seen such consistent or large-scale selling before. The sudden halt in equity-fund outflows that took place after the budget was delivered is clear evidence that many investors were selling their holdings as concerns rose at the possible curtailment of pension lump sum withdrawals, or of further capital gains tax hikes.

“The recent period of policy uncertainty has clearly unsettled investors and, in some cases, prompted reactive decisions they may later regret. Savers benefit most from clarity and consistency, so they can plan properly for long-term goals.”

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